Once you delete a topic model, it is permanently deleted. If you try to delete a topic model a second time, or a topic model that does not exist, you will receive a "404 not found" response. However, if you try to delete a topic model that is being used at the moment, then BigML. To list all the topic models, you can use the topicmodel base URL. By default, only the 20 most recent topic models will be returned.
You can get your list of topic models directly in your browser using your own username and API key with the following links. You can also paginate, filter, and order your topic models. Time Series Last Updated: Friday, 2017-10-27 12:23 A time series model is a supervised learning method to forecast the future values of a field based on its previously observed values. It is used to analyze time based data when historical patterns can explain the future behavior such as stock prices, sales forecasting, website traffic, production and inventory analysis, weather forecasting, etc.
A time series model needs to be trained with time series data, i. BigML implements exponential smoothing to train time series models. Time series data is modeled as a level component and it can optionally include a trend (damped or not damped) and a seasonality components as explained below:Forecast equation Level equation Forecast equation Level equation Trend equation Forecast equation Level equation Damped trend equation Forecast equation Level equation Trend equation Seasonality equation The different components can have variations, e.
As a result of combining the different variations for each component, several models can be trained for a given objective field. Note that BigML excludes certain combinations for numerical stability reasons such as additive errors with multiplicative trends or multiplicative error and trend with additive seasonality.
BigML computes four different performance measures to select the best model for a given objective field. You can create a time series model selecting one or several fields from your dataset to use as objective fields to forecast their future values. You can also list all of your time series. This can be used to change the names of the fields in the time series with respect to the original names in the dataset or to tell BigML that certain fields should be preferred.
Example: 100 name optional String,default is dataset's name The name you want to give to the new time series. The type of the field must be numerical. Non-numeric fields will be ignored, and if not present, the right-most valid field in the dataset will be used.
The period needs to be set taking into account the time interval of your instances and the seasonal frequency. For example, for monthly data and annual seasonality, the period should be 12, for daily data and weekly seasonality, the period should be 7. It can take values from 0 to 60. If the period is set to 1, there is no seasonality. If the period is 0, or not given, BigML will automatically learn the period in your data. The range of successive instances to build the time series. Multiplicative seasonality models are only available when the objective field has strictly positive values (greater than 0).
Example: 2 tags optional Array of Strings A list of strings that help classify and index your time series. If absent, the first datetime field in the dataset whose values are continuously either decreasing or increasing. If not given, the server will auto-detect the first sequential datetime field in the dataset. All fields are optional: giving any two among start, end, and interval are enough for a full specification, since the remaining one can always be computed.That's great, but many of those predictions will be hopelessly wrong by the end of March.
That's why it's so fascinating that Ray Kurzweil, one of the leading thinkers when it comes to the future of technology, has had such a strong track record in making predictions about technology for nearly two decades. So how does he do it. The fact is, Ray has a system and this system is called the Law of Accelerating Returns.
In his new book How to Create a Mind: The Secret of Human Thought Revealed, Kurzweil points out that "every fundamental measure of information technology follows predictable and exponential trajectories. Thanks to paradigms such as Moore's Law, which reduces computing power to a problem of how many transistors you can cram on a chip, anyone can intuitively understand why computers are getting exponentially faster and cheaper over time.
The other famous exponential growth curve in our lifetime is the sheer amount of digital information available on the Internet. Kurzweil typically graphs this as "bits per second transmitted on the Internet. That's why "Big Data" is such a buzzword these days - there's a growing recognition that we're losing track of all the information we're putting up on the Internet, from Facebook status updates, to YouTube videos, to funny meme posts on Tumblr.
In just a decade, we will have created more content than existed for thousands of years in humanity's prior experience. And it's not just computing power or the growth of the Internet. Chapter ten in Kurzweil's latest book, How to Create a Mind, includes 15 other charts that show these exponential growth curves at work. Once any technology becomes an information technology, it becomes subject to the Law of Accelerating Returns.
Consider biomedicine, for example. Now that the human genome is being translated into a digital life code of 1's and 0's that can be processed by computers, it's also an information technology, and that means it's also subject to the Law of Accelerating Returns.
When you look at the cost of sequencing a human-sized genome, the cost started dropping exponentially around 2001 and fell off the genomic cliff in about 2007 -- about the same time that Craig Venter's genome project took off. As Ray points out in How to Create a Mind, the reason why typical pundits and prognosticators typically get it wrong year after year is that the human mind has evolved to think linearly, not exponentially.
We conceive of 40 steps as a linear progression: one step after another, from 1 to 40. Ray thinks exponentially, though. That's why Ray's latest project - reverse-engineering the human brain - is so exciting. So what can we count on for 2013. Think like Ray, and use the Law of Accelerating Returns to your advantage. Figure out the scale of the problem that you're facing, figure out the computing power needed to achieve it, and then work backwards to arrive at an approximate timeline. Using this simple approach, Ray was able to predict that an artificial intelligence technology like Deep Blue would be capable of beating a chess grandmaster by 1998.
He talked to a grandmaster, figured out that an AI machine would have to recognize 100,000 possible board positions at any time, and that it would have to have the raw computing chops to crunch all possible combinations of these 100,000 board positions over and over again. Once that required computing power was possible (thanks to Moore's Law), it was time to move on to the next challenge -- becoming a Jeopardy.
Now, with the victory of Watson, it's time to move on to the next challenge - becoming the world's best doctor. The really exciting feature of the Law of Accelerating Returns is that it implicity assumes that one exponential technology builds on top of the next exponential technology.
Something like 3D printing is an example of one exponential technology building on top of another exponential technology. In fact, 3D printing may turn out to be the ultimate exponential technology for the coming 12 months, so much so that WIRED's Chris Anderson is betting his reputation on it. So what other areas could be ripe for surprise breakthroughs next year, due to exponential leaps in computing power. Untitled Created with Sketch. Big Think Edge helps organizations by catalyzing conversation around the topics most critical to 21st century business success.
This Calculator Can Tell You Ketogenic Diets Have "Profound Effect on Brain Function," Studies Find Dare to Think Bigger Sign up to get more stories like this in your inbox RELATED by Frank Jacobs by Teodora Zareva by Frank Jacobs by Frank Jacobs by Frank Jacobs by Big Think Editors by Frank Jacobs by Frank Jacobs Untitled Created with Sketch. Democrats are wondering where to go after Trump on: appropriateness, competence, corruption, and work ethic.
The answer is that people are evenly divided on these topics. Republicans support him and Democrats oppose him. Yet, there are some key points.
Here are some eye-popping stats that reflect why customer reviews are so important when marketing your business and brand in the ever-so-competitive market:Reviews can make or break a brand and encouraging satisfied customers to share their positive experience online, especially on social media platforms can help businesses generate social proof of their efficient services. Reading a good review builds trust in the buyer about the quality and credibility of your product or service. In fact, positive reviews can help you make people understand how your product can improve their lives.
Plus, your chance of drawing in more traffic to your site increases when customers write good reviews about your brand on social media platforms. People will take out time to read about the reviews, be it on your website, in your e-mail newsletters or in print materials. This is nothing but word of mouth publicity and will lure your visitors to buy your product or hire your services. Adding the name and photo of a customer will make the review even more authentic and credible.
But make sure you take permission from the customers first, before publishing their name or picture on your site. It can be done on your homepage or on all web pages. You can also set up an entire page dedicated to your glowing testimonials or create a series of reviews on your blog.
Show to your customers that you care. And this is for both positive and negative reviews. Take notice of the reviews and respond quickly. Publicly ask your customers to contact you directly so that you can discuss the problem. Show them that you are willing to do all you can to rectify the problem. This will build your customers trust and often sets you apart from your competitors.
Even if someone else comes across the review, it will be noted that you had tried to resolve the problem the earliest.If you still have trouble signing in, you probably need a new confirmation link email. Thanks for verifying your email address You're now logged in. LINK YOUR ACCOUNT FOR PREMIUM ACCESS Are you already a home delivery subscriber for ajc. Sign in Email sent Create a new password We didn't recognize that password reset code. Enter your email address to get a new one.
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Explore these products from The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. RELATED: Climate disaster map shows Georgia as second most apocalyptic state "This study undermines that logic," Dr.
By scrapping it at the same time as axing tax credits, the banking trade association says it's 'inevitable' that more of the families who fall behind on their mortgages will be evicted. Savers in their 20s can now stash money away for retirement in funds that automatically chop and change their investments as they grow older.
As you get closer to retirement, it's generally accepted that the most sensible thing to do is gradually move money out of shares and into bonds, which are considered safer. The new DS7 Crossback is aimed as a Gallic riposte to the dominant German, Japanese and British upmarket luxury off-roaders.
The biggest four High Street lenders got rid of 1,956 ATMs in the year to October to boost profits, with critics accusing them of abandoning customers in towns and villages and wrecking shops. Experts say the high-tech activity is consuming a higher level of power than in 159 countries across the globe - amid fears it will use more than the world by 2020. The offer, at 620p per share, is a 38. Embattled chief executive Gavin Patterson has told investors the telecoms company is prepared for a situation in which it loses ground to another bidder in February.
Several strategies are in play. There is the 'two drunks holding each other up' ploy, in which badly placed enterprises embrace in the hope they will be stronger together. Confronted with the not inconsiderable figure of Guy Hands, one does not immediately feel in the presence of a financial titan. As many as 842 section leader posts face the axe, while thousands of workers could see their hours cut as Asda looks at reducing the amount of time spent stacking shelves.
Accesso Technology's smart watches allow theme-park goers to book rides and find out where the queues are so they don't have to wait in line for hours. Rising house prices, more stamp duty to pay and less tax relief have all piled the pressure on to landlord finances in recent years but there are still healthy returns on offer in some parts of the UK. Research has looked at annual yields on 500,000 buy-to-let properties across Britain and found that while landlords in London are struggling to make a decent return, those letting out homes in Liverpool are firmly in the black.
Create a dazzling, festive display with branches, berries and baubles. Simply spray branches gold or silver and they will be transformed into something magical. According to the specialist company Woods4Sale, owning woodland - for weekend jaunts, rather than to build on - is a growing market Fund giant Vanguard has launched two special funds aimed at fresh-faced investors with over 40 years to go before they retire.
That means that they provide an easy option for someone in their twenties or early thirties now - the so-called millennial generation - who want to get cracking on saving for retirement.
Could you take matters into your own hands, tackle your own temptations and make yourself wealthier - or just happier. As well as an indoor garden with a glass bridge, it boasts an indoor swimming pool, seven bedrooms and a climbing wall. There is also a bar and a dining area that can seat 18 people. Oliver Schmidt, 48, was convicted yesterday of concealing software used to evade pollution limits on around 11 million vehicles - predominantly diesels - around the world.
Britain's long-suffering commuters have a problem with sky-high train fares, so what did the Government deliver. An extension of the Young Person's railcard up to the age of 30.Alexandra did all the rest. Nordic Visitor provides a car, maps, cell phone, and detailed itinerary for the drive-around vacations.
We had detailed maps to get where we needed to go, AND details about other places in case we wished to digress from our route to see more of this amazing country. We tacked on a few days at the end in Reykjavik, and had the chance to soak in the Blue Lagoon for a day, as well as see "How To Become Icelandic In 60 Minutes" at The HARPA (gorgeous national performing space on the harbor in Reykjavik).
All in all, a marvelous 12 days. Thanks, Nordic Visitor, and Alexandra. Norway Grand Tour was excellent. The hotels booked were wonderful and the service was great.
The whole experience with Nordic exceeded expectations. We thoroughly enjoyed our trip. Nordic visitor made everything stress-free. It was great to be able to pick up our rental car and check into accommodations, simply by handing them our reservation paper.
All accommodations were very clean, comfortable, great breakfasts and most had a beautiful Norway view. My friend and I just finished the Ring Road bus tour and were completely delighted with all aspects of the trip. We loved Iceland and feel like Nordic Visitor showed us the very best of the country in a way that maximized relaxation and minimized stress. I definitely would choose this company for my next Scandinavian adventure. My husband and I thought the tour and the service provided by Nordic Visitor to be excellent.
It was very convenient to book our trip with you as we didn't have to worry about coordinating all the accommodations, car rentals, shuttles, and tours on our own. Additionally, everyone from Nordic Visitor who helped us were so friendly, professional, and helpful.
We will definitely look to using your services again for our future Nordic vacations. I saved myself days and days of research by letting Gudrun take care of everything. Using Nordic Visitor allowed me direct access to a local agent (Gudrun) who knows how to put my trip together. We were delighted to be able to meet Alexandra, our Consultant, at the end of our trip. Despite some challenges provided by the weather we thoroughly enjoyed our circle drive through the extraordinary landscape and geo thermal environment.
We have great admiration for the resilience of the people who live and work in the small, remote farming and fishing villages around the country. We have no hesitation in recommending your company to our friends and others who were interested in our travels. Thankyou for ensuring our visit was safe and well organised.
This was a special holiday we had been planning for over a year to celebrate our Golden Wedding Anniversary and thanks to your careful planning for us it was a holiday that we will treasure for the rest of our lives. I booked the 'Exotic Hideaways' package last winter for my wife and I for our honeymoon in May. We have both always wanted to visit Iceland and having just returned from our trip, I can say unequivocally it was everything we were expecting and more.
From our driver who picked us up at the airport and went out of his way to make us feel welcome, to our 'at your own pace' itinerary and all the accommodations arranged for us along the way (which were virtually flawless. Perhaps it was because we arrived technically in the tail end of the off-season, but at times it felt like we had the entire country to ourselves. And what an AMAZING country it is!!.
Waterfalls, Cliffs, Caves, Lava fields each stop seemed to be more indescribably beautiful then the last. With all the wedding planning and considering we've never been to Iceland before, I thought it best to leave the details of the honeymoon up to a professional and I'm glad I did.
I was understandably a little anxious putting so much of our trip in the hands of a company I only just stumbled across online, but in reading reviews on TripAdvisor and others I had a feeling Nordic Visitor would come through - and they did. I will say email seems to be the preferred method of contact.In this post, we'll be covering. Page Likes are a safe place to start in Facebook marketing.
Promote a deal to Facebook users with Facebook Offers 4. Activate Sponsored Stories as an add-on 9. Tips for Controlling Facebook Advertising Costs. Visual Facebook Advertising Tips: 4 Ways to Create More Engaging Image Ads Images are a powerful tool you can utilize for creating engaging, eye popping Facebook ads. Advertising With Facebook: 7 Tips for Better Targeting Facebook advertising has some incredible targeting capabilities that can help you tailor your message and target your desired audiences.
Consider your audience definition and potential reach 5. Upload a mailing list within Facebook's Create New Audience feature No time to read the post. Get the free download to read whenever you have time. Create custom image with text overlay and upload it to attach to your post. This is a bit more work but can really pay off. Don't be afraid to add some text to your social media image.
Redbull has a huge following thanks to their high-quality, visually captivating content Oreo uses video content on Facebook to engage with followers in a unique way, inviting them to play a game 5. Way too much text happening here. Petco does a great job of incorporating a seasonal element into their cover photo 7. Mei Mei's Street Kitchen tags organizations they are teaming up with in posts 10.
Searching hashtags can help you discover competitors, generate ideas, monitor industry conversations, and more 11. Incorporate questions and surveys into your social posts 13. Joining in on weekly movements can get your social posts some much needed publicity 14. Matador Network, utilizing quotes in their Facebook ads 19.
Utilize automated meme generators for something big and bold 20. Find out how you're REALLY doing in AdWords. Watch the video below on our Free AdWords Grader: Visit the AdWords Grader. Comments David Weightman I really love the tips that you have shared Megan. Megan Marrs Thanks David, I'm really glad you enjoyed the article.
Megan Marrs Thanks Serge. Jackie Hi MeganThanks so much for putting into clear and easy language what I should be doing on Facebook.
Jackie George All very useful stuff. Thanks for sharing Megan. George Elena Wow, what a precious collection of valuable tips.How to Reinstall a Trial Software after Trial Expiry Registry Method 100% working By AKASH VERMA
Megan Marrs You're welcome Elena. Michael Bian nice tips.Statistical activities at FAO cover the areas of agriculture, forestry and fisheries, land and water resources and use, climate, environment, population, gender, nutrition, poverty, rural development, education and health as well as many others. The Statistical Programme of Work provides a summary of all of the principal statistical activities at FAO, and a detailed description of all the individual statistical activities carried out by FAO Divisions active in the field of statistics.
FAO is the custodian UN agency for 21 indicators, which monitor 16 targets under six of the Sustainable Development Goals.
It also contributes to monitoring four additional SDG indicators. As a custodian agency, FAO is responsible for collecting data from national sources, validating and harmonizing them, estimating regional and global aggregates and making them available for international reporting.
FAO is also responsible for leading the methodological development of the 21 indicators and for providing coordinated technical assistance to countries with the objective of enabling them to produce their own data in the long run. Visit the FAO and the SDGs website for more information. The 6th Workshop on Biostatistics and Bioinformatics is scheduled to take place May 4-6, 2018, in Atlanta. Hosted by the Department of Mathematics and Statistics at Georgia State University, the goal of the workshop is to stimulate research and to foster the interaction of researchers in Biostatistics and Bioinformatics.
It will provide the opportunity for faculty and graduate students to meet with top researchers in small group settings, identify important directions for future research, and facilitate research collaboration. The keynote speaker is Hongyu Zhao, the Ira V. Hiscock Professor of Biostatistics and Professor of Statistics and Genetics at Yale University and the recipient of the Mortimer Spiegelman Award.
Invited sessions and a poster session are also part of the workshop. Partial travel awards will be awarded to select conference participants as priority will be given to senior graduate students, post-graduate, recent Ph. Ds, junior faculty, and under-represented groups.
Stats Life Statistics in Action Blog A World Without Statistics Around the World in Statistics ASA Statistical Significance Series The World of Statistics Flyer The World of Statistics Video Statistics as a Career At Work With Statisticians What Fields Employ Statisticians. This article may help you understand the concept of statistical significance and the meaning of the numbers produced by The Survey System. This article is presented in two parts. The second part provides more technical readers with a fuller discussion of the exact meaning of statistical significance numbers.
In normal English, "significant" means important, while in Statistics "significant" means probably true (not due to chance). A research finding may be true without being important. When statisticians say a result is "highly significant" they mean it is very probably true.
They do not (necessarily) mean it is highly important. Take a look at the table below. We want to know if people from different areas or who drive different types of vehicles give different answers to the question.
We see some differences, but want to know if those differences are likely due to chance, because of the particular people we happened to interview, or whether the differences seen here likely reflect real differences in the entire population of people represented by our sample. To answer this question we used a statistic called chi (pronounced kie like pie) square shown at the bottom of the table in two rows of numbers.
The top row numbers of 0. The meaning of these statistics may be ignored for the purposes of this article. The second row contains values. These are the significance levels and are explained following the table. Significance levels show you how likely a pattern in your data is due to chance. The most common level, used to mean something is good enough to be believed, is. However, this value is also used in a misleading way.
Instead it will show you ". To find the significance level, subtract the number shown from one. For example, a value of ".
In this table, there is probably no difference in purchases of gasoline X by people in the city center and the suburbs, because the probability is.